As mentioned, three of the last four meetings between these two sides in Spain's top flight have finished all square, and we are expecting another draw here. There is not an awful lot between the teams when it comes to quality, and neither would be too disappointed with a share of the spoils on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.08) 
